Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
WPH
0 - 1
MFC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
WUF
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 0
MFC
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CCM
2 - 0
MFC
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
WES
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
WPH
1 - 1
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 0
BRI
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
SYD
27%
25%
48%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
PER
3 - 1
BRI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |