Macaé Esporte vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 0
MAC
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOA
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 4
MAC
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAU
31%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOA
83%
12%
4%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ATM
0 - 2
FLA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
CEA
3 - 3
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ATP
3 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |