Lyon-Duchère vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 1
LEP
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AIN
3 - 4
LYO
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SÈT
2 - 2
LYO
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 0
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ARL
0 - 2
DIJ
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CLE
3 - 1
ARL
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AIX
0 - 4
ARL
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 2
VAL
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
LHA
2 - 0
ARL
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |