Luziânia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CEI
1 - 2
LUZ
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
LUZ
2 - 0
GUA
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LUZ
2 - 2
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 2
LUZ
47%
23%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
LUZ
0 - 0
CEI
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 1
DOM
43%
23%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 1
CEI
41%
23%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 2
LUZ
47%
23%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
DOM
27%
23%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |