Luzi 2008 vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
11º
6º
38
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
LUZ
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 0
BES
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 2
LUZ
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
LUZ
2 - 0
TOM
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BES
0 - 0
LUZ
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
BES
1 - 2
APO
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
KFS
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
TOM
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 1
APO
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 0
APO
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |