Swiss Super League Round 10

Luzern vs Zurich analysis

Luzern Zurich
82 ELO 78
-3.1% Tilt 24%
275º General ELO ranking 274º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.9%
Luzern
24.2%
Draw
27.8%
Zurich

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
Luzern
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.8%
Win probability
Zurich
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-7%
-4%
Zurich

ELO progression

Luzern
Zurich
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2015
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
26%
24%
51%
81 73 8 0
20 Sep. 2015
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 4
Luzern
FCL
23%
22%
56%
80 66 14 +1
13 Sep. 2015
FCL
Luzern
3 - 3
Grasshopper
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
80 81 1 0
04 Sep. 2015
FCL
Luzern
5 - 1
Kaiserslautern
KAI
51%
25%
24%
80 76 4 0
29 Aug. 2015
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 1
Luzern
FCL
25%
24%
52%
80 70 10 0

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2015
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
78 70 8 0
19 Sep. 2015
WOH
Wohlen
0 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
15%
19%
66%
77 62 15 +1
13 Sep. 2015
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 3
Thun
THU
44%
27%
30%
77 78 1 0
30 Aug. 2015
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
78 85 7 -1
22 Aug. 2015
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 5
Luzern
FCL
36%
26%
39%
79 80 1 -1