Luzern vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
STJ
1 - 1
FCL
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 1
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 1
HOF
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 4
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 1
THU
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |