Swiss Super League Title Play-off Round 8

Luzern vs Zurich analysis

Luzern Zurich
73 ELO 82
-12% Tilt -1.1%
290º General ELO ranking 287º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.5%
Luzern
27.7%
Draw
41.8%
Zurich

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
Luzern
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.8%
Win probability
Zurich
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luzern
-7%
-1%
Zurich

ELO progression

Luzern
Zurich
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 1999
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 0
Luzern
FCL
63%
22%
16%
75 81 6 0
11 Apr. 1999
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Servette
SER
27%
27%
46%
74 83 9 +1
05 Apr. 1999
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 1
Luzern
FCL
68%
19%
13%
74 81 7 0
20 Mar. 1999
STG
St. Gallen
0 - 2
Luzern
FCL
55%
24%
21%
73 78 5 +1
14 Mar. 1999
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
Lausanne Sports
LAU
24%
25%
52%
73 83 10 0

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 1999
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 0
Luzern
FCL
63%
22%
16%
81 75 6 0
14 Apr. 1999
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
68%
19%
13%
82 74 8 -1
10 Apr. 1999
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
47%
25%
28%
82 81 1 0
03 Apr. 1999
SER
Servette
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
54%
24%
22%
82 83 1 0
21 Mar. 1999
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
82 72 10 0