Luzern vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
52.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 4
FCL
9%
17%
74%
|
73 | 29 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
SIO
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCL
14%
19%
68%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CSK
0 - 2
BAS
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LEM
1 - 3
BAS
8%
14%
78%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 0
SIO
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
FUL
1 - 0
BAS
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
62%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |