Lutterworth Town vs Bugbrooke St Michaels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutterworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LUT
9 - 3
NOC
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
LUT
2 - 3
LER
16%
19%
65%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
COV
3 - 0
LUT
55%
21%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PNS
4 - 6
LUT
8%
14%
79%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUT
6 - 0
EAS
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bugbrooke St Michaels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
BUG
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 4
COV
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 7
HAR
10%
14%
76%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BUG
1 - 2
WEL
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PNS
0 - 5
BUG
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |