Luton Town vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LUT
2 - 2
STO
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
RUS
2 - 2
LUT
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
LUT
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
LUT
2 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
LUT
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TRA
0 - 0
HAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 2
TRA
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 2
TRA
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 1
BOL
24%
26%
51%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
TRA
2 - 2
SHW
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |