Luton Town vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
3 - 1
GIL
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
SWI
2 - 1
LUT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
DAG
1 - 2
LUT
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
2 - 1
HAR
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 5
SUN
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
19%
27%
54%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WIG
3 - 0
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 2
SUN
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 0
TOT
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
LUT
0 - 5
SUN
32%
26%
41%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |