Luton Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
LUT
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LUT
3 - 2
SHW
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
2 - 1
LUT
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
BOU
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
3 - 2
BRI
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
OLD
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
OLD
2 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
4 - 1
PLY
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |