Luton Town vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
WHU
0 - 0
LUT
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1994 |
LUT
1 - 1
MID
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
NTT
2 - 0
LUT
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
LUT
2 - 1
SUN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1994 |
LUT
4 - 1
OPA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
BIR
0 - 3
LEI
33%
28%
40%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
GRI
1 - 0
BIR
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
BIR
0 - 2
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
DER
1 - 1
BIR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1994 |
WOL
3 - 0
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |