Taça de Portugal . Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Lusitano GC Évora vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 1
TOR
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 2
LGC
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
FCB
2 - 2
LGC
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
LGC
0 - 0
BEL
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
SLB
4 - 0
LGC
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
MAR
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCP
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 3
MAR
56%
19%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
53%
20%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |