Lusitano GC Évora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
OLH
2 - 0
LGC
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 2
VST
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 0
LGC
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
LGC
2 - 2
LEX
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 1
LGC
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SLB
2 - 2
SCP
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
VIT
1 - 4
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
SLB
5 - 2
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
46%
22%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
SLB
8 - 0
FCB
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |