Lusitano GC Évora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 1
LGC
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 0
BEL
19%
23%
57%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
SPC
3 - 1
LGC
56%
22%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 1
FCP
21%
23%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SPB
0 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
SLB
7 - 2
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
LEX
0 - 3
SLB
15%
18%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 1
SAL
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |