Lusitania FC vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
IDE
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
LUS
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 3
1DE
26%
29%
45%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 1
LUS
58%
24%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAC
28%
28%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GDA
0 - 1
UDL
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
0 - 6
UDL
9%
19%
72%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
IDE
70%
18%
11%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
OLE
0 - 4
UDL
8%
20%
72%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |