Lusitania FC U19 vs Oliveira Frades U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
REB
0 - 0
LUS
7%
14%
79%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
LUS
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
PEN
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
PAD
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Frades U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OFR
1 - 2
SOU
10%
15%
76%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
12 - 1
OFR
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
OFR
1 - 1
PAD
8%
14%
79%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +2 |