CD Lugo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 2
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
CAD
26%
28%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
OVI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FUE
0 - 1
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 3
ALC
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 1
ZAR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RAC
2 - 2
ZAR
13%
22%
65%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ZAR
3 - 1
DEP
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 1
ZAR
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |