CD Lugo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
BET
5 - 1
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
SPO
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
LUG
41%
30%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ALC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
47%
29%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 2
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 0
NUM
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 0
NUM
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 0
FCB
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |