CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
REU
0 - 0
LUG
34%
30%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
LEV
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAD
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
GIM
47%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
MAJ
60%
26%
15%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CDT
3 - 2
ALC
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 0
GRA
30%
28%
41%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 3
ALC
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |