FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 2
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
DYN
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
NEX
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
LUG
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ZUR
0 - 4
YOB
16%
21%
64%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 0
THU
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 2
ZUR
14%
20%
66%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |