Lugano II vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
LUG
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
CHA
46%
23%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MEN
1 - 2
LUG
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
STG
3 - 1
LUG
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 2
GCB
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ZUG
0 - 2
TUG
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
LUZ
3 - 0
ZUG
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ZUG
1 - 4
SCB
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ZUG
5 - 2
FCG
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BUO
1 - 3
ZUG
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |