Qualif. Champions 3ra Ronda. Final
Global 6-4
Ludogorets vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
MLA
0 - 3
LUD
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
LUD
2 - 0
MLA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
LUD
3 - 0
LOK
74%
18%
9%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
DIN
1 - 1
LUD
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
SLP
1 - 2
LUD
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 2
NAP
81%
12%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 1
VAL
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
CRV
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 1
RAD
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
CRV
2 - 4
PAN
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |