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Bulgaria Third Division. Nor-Este, Matchday 18

Ludogorets III vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis

Ludogorets III Chernomorets Balchik
21 ELO 23
154% Tilt 68%
5149º General ELO ranking 4008º
55º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
72.5%
Ludogorets III
13.1%
Draw
14.4%
Chernomorets Balchik

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
Ludogorets III
3.56
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
<0%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
3.6%
6-3
1.2%
7-4
0.3%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
5%
5-3
2%
6-4
0.5%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
0.9%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
17%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
13.1%
14.4%
Win probability
Chernomorets Balchik
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ludogorets III
+128%
+126%
Chernomorets Balchik

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartak Varna
71
74
100%
Chernomorets Balchik
60
63
100%
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
55
58
50%
Septemvri Tervel
55
58
50%
Dunav Ruse
53
56
100%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
50
53
100%
Ludogorets III
48
51
100%
Shumen 2007
47
50
100%
Ustrem Donchevo
44
47
100%
Dorostol
10º
38
40
10º
100%
Sportist General Toshevo
11º
26
28
11º
100%
Botev Novi Pazar
12º
21
23
12º
100%
Topoli
13º
16
18
13º
100%
Kubrat
14º
8
10
14º
100%
Inter Dobrich
15º
7
9
15º
0%
Benkovski Byala
16º
0
3
16º
0%
Expected probabilities
Ludogorets III
Chernomorets Balchik
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
Ludogorets III
LUD
Botev Novi Pazar
BOT
Dorostol
DOR
Ustrem Donchevo
UST
Kubrat
KUB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ludogorets III
Ludogorets III
1%
X%
2%
ELO LUD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2020
LUD
Ludogorets III
4 - 0
Topoli
FTT
46%
27%
27%
247 271 -24 0
25 Nov. 2020
DUN
Dunav Ruse
0 - 1
Ludogorets III
LUD
57%
24%
20%
275 711 436 +2
22 Nov. 2020
LUD
Ludogorets III
6 - 1
Botev Novi Pazar
BOT
51%
25%
23%
273 111 162 +2
01 Nov. 2020
LUD
Ludogorets III
3 - 0
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
CHE
46%
27%
27%
271 303 -32 0
25 Oct. 2020
SVE
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
2 - 1
Ludogorets III
LUD
46%
27%
27%
272 252 -20 -1

Matches

Chernomorets Balchik
Chernomorets Balchik
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2021
BVR
Botev Vratsa
3 - 0
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
55%
24%
21%
298 836 538 -5
03 Feb. 2021
CVA
Cherno More Varna
4 - 1
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
72%
18%
10%
310 1253 943 -16
23 Jan. 2021
BVR
Botev Vratsa
2 - 0
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
57%
24%
20%
331 905 574 -21
21 Nov. 2020
SVE
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
2 - 3
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
42%
28%
31%
330 259 -71 +1
14 Nov. 2020
CHE
Chernomorets Balchik
2 - 1
Septemvri Tervel
SEP
47%
27%
26%
329 241 88 +1