Ludogorets III vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
<0%
11-1
<0%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
3.6%
6-3
1.2%
7-4
0.3%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
5%
5-3
2%
6-4
0.5%
7-5
0.1%
8-6
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
0.9%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
17%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
13.1%
14.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
+126%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 9 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 3 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
CHE
LUD
BOT
DOR
UST
KUB
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO LUD | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LUD
4 - 0
FTT
46%
27%
27%
|
247 | 271 | -24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 1
LUD
57%
24%
20%
|
275 | 711 | 436 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
LUD
6 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
23%
|
273 | 111 | 162 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUD
3 - 0
CHE
46%
27%
27%
|
271 | 303 | -32 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SVE
2 - 1
LUD
46%
27%
27%
|
272 | 252 | -20 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO CHE | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BVR
3 - 0
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
298 | 836 | 538 | -5 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CVA
4 - 1
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
310 | 1253 | 943 | -16 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
BVR
2 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
20%
|
331 | 905 | 574 | -21 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SVE
2 - 3
CHE
42%
28%
31%
|
330 | 259 | -71 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHE
2 - 1
SEP
47%
27%
26%
|
329 | 241 | 88 | +1 |