National round 4

Luçon vs Épinal analysis

Luçon Épinal
65 ELO 48
-2.5% Tilt -5.7%
18620º General ELO ranking 3747º
431º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
71.6%
Luçon
18.7%
Draw
9.8%
Épinal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
Luçon
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.8%
Win probability
Épinal
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Luçon
Épinal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luçon
Luçon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2015
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
3 - 2
Luçon
LUC
42%
27%
31%
66 61 5 0
14 Aug. 2015
LUC
Luçon
2 - 0
CS Sedan
SED
49%
25%
26%
65 61 4 +1
07 Aug. 2015
LES
Les Herbiers
0 - 0
Luçon
LUC
25%
28%
48%
65 55 10 0
29 Jul. 2015
LUC
Luçon
0 - 2
Nantes
NAN
26%
27%
47%
64 79 15 +1
22 May. 2015
AVR
Avranches
2 - 1
Luçon
LUC
33%
28%
39%
65 58 7 -1

Matches

Épinal
Épinal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 2015
SPI
Épinal
1 - 1
Athlético Marseille
CON
25%
24%
51%
48 60 12 0
14 Aug. 2015
CHA
Chateauroux
1 - 1
Épinal
SPI
67%
19%
14%
47 58 11 +1
07 Aug. 2015
SPI
Épinal
1 - 1
US Boulogne
USB
25%
26%
50%
47 63 16 0
22 May. 2015
LPS
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
3 - 0
Épinal
SPI
65%
20%
15%
47 58 11 0
15 May. 2015
SPI
Épinal
0 - 1
CA Bastia
CAB
41%
25%
34%
47 52 5 0