Lucky Mile vs Kwun Tong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 1
WAN
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TUE
4 - 1
LUC
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DOU
6 - 0
LUC
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 4
BIU
15%
19%
65%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 3
HVA
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Kwun Tong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SHA
0 - 1
KWU
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
KWU
0 - 4
WTP
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
KWU
0 - 1
DOU
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
KWA
4 - 4
KWU
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TCS
1 - 1
KWU
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |