Lucchese Libertas vs Sancolombano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 1
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ASL
3 - 0
CLO
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 2
ASL
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
IMO
0 - 1
ASL
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sancolombano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 3
COR
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAC
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 1
MEZ
27%
24%
50%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 0
SAC
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAC
0 - 0
VIR
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |