Lucchese Libertas vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 0
ORV
80%
15%
6%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
SGP
0 - 2
ASL
15%
26%
59%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ASL
4 - 1
APC
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
RIE
0 - 0
ASL
25%
29%
46%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
RIE
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
ORV
2 - 3
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MON
3 - 2
ASD
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
APC
1 - 3
MON
17%
24%
60%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MON
4 - 0
MAS
34%
27%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |