Lucchese Libertas vs Lupa Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PON
2 - 4
ASL
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ASL
2 - 2
ARZ
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASL
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TUT
2 - 0
ASL
41%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 1
USA
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 1
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RCR
2 - 0
LRO
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LRO
1 - 0
OLB
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 0
LRO
71%
19%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LRO
1 - 2
TUT
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |