Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 2
TRI
50%
28%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
REG
3 - 1
ASL
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 3
ASL
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
LEC
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PAD
0 - 2
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LIV
1 - 1
PAD
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ASS
3 - 1
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRE
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |