Lucchese Libertas vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASL
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 0
VER
34%
31%
35%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASL
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
SSB
2 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
PAD
4 - 3
SSB
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
USC
1 - 1
PAD
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
PAD
3 - 1
REG
54%
27%
20%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
PES
2 - 2
PAD
56%
27%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
PAD
2 - 1
UDI
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |