Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 1
PES
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 0
TAR
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 3
ASL
38%
31%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 1
SOR
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASL
40%
30%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ANC
2 - 0
ACS
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
JUS
1 - 0
ANC
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
ANC
0 - 0
ARZ
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
TAR
1 - 0
ANC
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ANC
1 - 1
SSS
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |