Lucchese Libertas vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
26.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
TRE
1 - 1
ASL
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
ACP
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 0
PIS
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ASL
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ASL
3 - 1
CTT
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CES
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
ARZ
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
5 - 0
ACL
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACL
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |