Luceni CF vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
LUC
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LUC
4 - 0
ATE
23%
21%
56%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
LUC
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 2
CDM
27%
25%
49%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LUC
4 - 5
PRA
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
PRA
47%
22%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 1
ARI
56%
21%
24%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
TOR
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 2
ARI
52%
20%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 3
MAL
20%
21%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |