VfB Lübeck II vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
16º
8º
81
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
1 - 4
ITK
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
2 - 4
TOD
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
LUB
4 - 0
PAN
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 0
LUB
65%
17%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LUB
4 - 5
ALT
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
0 - 3
EIC
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
KIL
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FRI
0 - 4
KIL
49%
21%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
4 - 0
OLD
5%
10%
84%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +4 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 4
KIL
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +3 |