1. HNL round 19

Lučko vs NK Zagreb analysis

Lučko NK Zagreb
63 ELO 69
5.9% Tilt -0.9%
17814º General ELO ranking 19113º
70º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
34.8%
Lučko
25.9%
Draw
39.3%
NK Zagreb

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
Lučko
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.3%
Win probability
NK Zagreb
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lučko
NK Zagreb
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lučko
Lučko
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2011
LUK
Lučko
1 - 1
HNK Rijeka
RIJ
33%
27%
40%
63 71 8 0
26 Nov. 2011
ZAD
Zadar
1 - 0
Lučko
LUK
52%
25%
23%
64 66 2 -1
19 Nov. 2011
HNS
HNK Sibenik
1 - 1
Lučko
LUK
57%
24%
19%
63 70 7 +1
05 Nov. 2011
LUK
Lučko
2 - 2
Lokomotiva
LOK
41%
26%
32%
63 67 4 0
29 Oct. 2011
NKV
NK Varazdin
0 - 2
Lučko
LUK
57%
23%
20%
62 65 3 +1

Matches

NK Zagreb
NK Zagreb
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2011
KAR
NK Karlovac 1919
3 - 3
NK Zagreb
ZAG
33%
27%
40%
69 65 4 0
30 Nov. 2011
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 0
HNK Hajduk Split
HKS
25%
25%
50%
68 82 14 +1
26 Nov. 2011
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 1
NK Slaven Belupo
SLA
41%
28%
31%
68 74 6 0
23 Nov. 2011
HKS
HNK Hajduk Split
1 - 0
NK Zagreb
ZAG
74%
16%
10%
68 82 14 0
18 Nov. 2011
ZAG
NK Zagreb
1 - 1
HNK Cibalia
HNK
41%
28%
31%
68 74 6 0