Loyers vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loyers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NIS
3 - 0
LOY
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOY
3 - 1
FLA
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ANH
1 - 2
LOY
7%
14%
79%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARQ
1 - 3
LOY
40%
24%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LOY
3 - 2
MEU
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
MEU
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 4
PES
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AND
6 - 2
LIG
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 7
FLA
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ANH
2 - 5
LIG
9%
16%
76%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |