Lourenzá vs SD Chantada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
78.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
LOU
63%
20%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 2
AES
8%
16%
76%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 2
LOU
47%
23%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 2
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
XOV
1 - 0
LOU
64%
20%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Chantada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
6 - 1
PAS
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
CHA
10%
17%
74%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
TAB
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
BUR
81%
12%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AES
1 - 1
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |