Lorraine Arlon vs Sartoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
5º
48
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorraine Arlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OPP
1 - 0
LOR
59%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 3
RUS
79%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MES
1 - 2
LOR
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 2
JEU
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GOU
2 - 1
LOR
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sartoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 3
BAS
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
SAR
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OPP
0 - 2
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
4 - 0
RUS
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MES
1 - 3
SAR
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +2 |