Lorient vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 0
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 0
LOR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 3
PSG
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
REI
1 - 0
LOR
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 0
PAN
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
ZUL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |