Lorient vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
USB
2 - 0
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOR
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
LEN
3 - 1
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
LIL
31%
28%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |