Lorient vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 1
LMU
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 0
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASB
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
LAV
0 - 4
LOR
11%
19%
70%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1998 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
MPL
2 - 1
PSG
28%
27%
45%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
PSG
2 - 0
MPL
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
PSG
0 - 2
LHA
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 0
PSG
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
THO
1 - 3
PSG
2%
12%
87%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |