Lorient vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
MET
2 - 1
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
IST
1 - 1
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2002 |
REI
1 - 3
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
LYO
5 - 1
LOR
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
LMU
2 - 1
TFC
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
REI
1 - 2
LMU
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
LMU
3 - 1
FCG
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
AMI
0 - 1
LMU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2002 |
LUS
1 - 0
LMU
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |