Lorient vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
SED
3 - 2
LOR
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 5
FCG
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 2
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 0
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TRO
3 - 3
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 1
ANG
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PSG
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCG
2 - 0
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
CHA
2 - 1
LHA
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |