LONGA '30 vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HOO
0 - 2
LON
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LON
3 - 3
MSC
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LON
2 - 3
JUL
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SWZ
6 - 0
LON
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LON
4 - 3
RIG
60%
20%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAB
0 - 3
ALC
23%
23%
53%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
HOO
2 - 1
ALC
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
0 - 0
ALC
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 2
RKH
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UDI
0 - 1
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |