Long Eaton United vs Dunston UTS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
4º
18º
4º
60
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
41 | 41 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
40 | 40 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
21 | 21 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Long Eaton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
WOR
53%
20%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
LOU
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
GAI
4 - 2
LON
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
GAI
42%
23%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 0
GRE
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 3
PON
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BOO
0 - 3
DUN
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SCA
3 - 2
DUN
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 2
DUN
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
CIT
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |