Londrina vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
LON
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
LON
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
PPE
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
LON
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LON
2 - 1
CHA
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
CSA
81%
14%
6%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
SPO
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |