Lommel SK vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 2
LOM
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
LOM
1 - 0
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
KVC
2 - 1
LOM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
LOM
1 - 0
BEE
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 1
LOM
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 0
BEE
31%
27%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
KSV
0 - 2
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 2
LOK
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LEU
0 - 2
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 1
LOM
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |